Levadiakos 0-2 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
51%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
10.1
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
8%
18.6
X/1
6%
11.6
X/2
22%
3.52
X/X
12%
4.89
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
1.98
2/X
8%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
51%
Away Win
60%
-9.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 64%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
0.47/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.77
-6% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
191 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
9.1 Crosses 17.4
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levadiakos
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PAOK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.70 xG 1.73
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
190 Passes 545
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 2-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
09.10.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-1 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
21.04.2019 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
17.12.2018 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
06.01.2018 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
20.09.2017 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levadiakos
0-2
AWAY PAOK
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
176 Passes 400
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Levadiakos vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK saw off Levadiakos 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Levadiakos had 35% of the ball to PAOK's 65%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Levadiakos and 3.00 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Levadiakos vs PAOK?

Levadiakos 0-2 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levadiakos vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Levadiakos 22%, draw 27%, PAOK 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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