OFI 3-2 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 25 Jan 2025

OFI
3-2 HT 2-1
Panserraikos
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

OFI vs Panserraikos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 32% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.3
X/1
14%
4.39
X/2
10%
8.76
X/X
19%
4.55
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
9%
7.04
2/X
5%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.8pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OFI v Panserraikos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 25%
-12% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.43/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.67
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.4 Crosses 13.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3

OFI vs Panserraikos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Panserraikos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.12 xG 1.28
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
351 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-3 HT 2-2 OFI OFI YUN
13.04.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-2 HT 2-1 OFI OFI YUN
19.02.2024 OFI OFI 4-0 HT 3-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
06.11.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
01.03.2009 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
08.11.2008 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-2 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN

OFI 3-2 Panserraikos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
3-2
AWAY Panserraikos
2.67 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
23 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 8
311 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 22
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OFI vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI edged past Panserraikos 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had OFI as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFI had 51% of the ball to Panserraikos's 49%, shots finished 23-16, expected goals 2.67 to 1.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold OFI's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OFI had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for OFI and 1.17 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Panserraikos?

OFI 3-2 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split OFI 41%, draw 34%, Panserraikos 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFI) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OFI) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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