Panaitolikos 1-0 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 5 Oct 2024

Panaitolikos
1-0 HT 0-0
AEK Atina
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Panaitolikos vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
50%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
7%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 31% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
13.1
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
4%
20.5
X/1
7%
15.8
X/2
17%
3.48
X/X
17%
6.17
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.67
2/X
4%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.2pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.3pp
50%
Away Win
67%
-17.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panaitolikos v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 71%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
0.63/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.73
+6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -19%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
220 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 83%
9.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.3
11.0 Crosses 23.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Panaitolikos vs AEK Atina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY AEK Atina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.71 xG 1.79
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
216 Passes 414
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.12.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-2 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
08.10.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
15.01.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-1 HT 2-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
17.09.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-2 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
16.01.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-2 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
03.10.2021 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-3 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN

Panaitolikos 1-0 AEK Atina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
1-0
AWAY AEK Atina
0.97 xG 1.82
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
188 Passes 485
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos nicked a narrow win over AEK Atina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AEK Atina at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 32% of the ball to AEK Atina's 68%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.97 to 1.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured AEK Atina.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panaitolikos and 2.50 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs AEK Atina?

Panaitolikos 1-0 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 24%, draw 26%, AEK Atina 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (AEK Atina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ BTTS No
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