Aris Saloniki 2-0 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 5 Oct 2024

Aris Saloniki
2-0 HT 2-0
Lamia
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Aris Saloniki vs Lamia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
13%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 27% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.95
X/1
22%
3.53
X/2
10%
15.3
X/X
11%
6.36
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
6%
12.4
2/X
8%
19.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-11.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aris Saloniki v Lamia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.54/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.64
+3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
20.2 Crosses 10.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Aris Saloniki vs Lamia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lamia
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.48 xG 0.77
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
457 Passes 220
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.05.2024 Lamia Lamia 2-4 HT 2-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
31.03.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-1 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
20.12.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-2 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
27.08.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
05.03.2023 Lamia Lamia 2-1 HT 2-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
08.11.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 5-0 HT 3-0 Lamia Lamia YUN

Aris Saloniki 2-0 Lamia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
2-0
AWAY Lamia
0.96 xG 0.61
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
608 Passes 308
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki beat Lamia 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 64% of the ball to Lamia's 36%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.96 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Aris Saloniki and 1.33 for Lamia.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Lamia?

Aris Saloniki 2-0 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 56%, draw 24%, Lamia 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5
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