Lamia 2-4 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.5
No
54%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
26%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
62%
-16.2pp
54%
BTTS No
38%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.04/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.97
-13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.5 Crosses 13.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.63 xG 1.49
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
187 Passes 477
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-1 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
20.12.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-2 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
27.08.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
05.03.2023 Lamia Lamia 2-1 HT 2-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
08.11.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 5-0 HT 3-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
26.01.2022 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
2-4
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.51 xG 1.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
384 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lamia vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki got the better of Lamia 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lamia had 51% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 49%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.51 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lamia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lamia and 1.83 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Lamia vs Aris Saloniki?

Lamia 2-4 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lamia 31%, draw 26%, Aris Saloniki 43%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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