Aris Saloniki 3-1 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.35
X/1
20%
3.48
X/2
10%
15.7
X/X
11%
6.11
2/1
5%
24.45
2/2
6%
13.1
2/X
6%
20.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.54/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.48
+1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
20.1 Crosses 11.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lamia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 0.57
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
483 Passes 170
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
27 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-2 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
27.08.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
05.03.2023 Lamia Lamia 2-1 HT 2-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
08.11.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 5-0 HT 3-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
26.01.2022 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
23.01.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
3-1
AWAY Lamia
1.38 xG 0.91
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 4
419 Passes 241
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki beat Lamia 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 62% of the ball to Lamia's 38%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.38 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lamia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aris Saloniki and 1.00 for Lamia.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Lamia?

Aris Saloniki 3-1 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 55%, draw 24%, Lamia 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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YUN More Greece - Super League
31 Mar 2024
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