AEK Atina 1-0 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 31% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.83
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
16%
4.67
X/2
10%
7.31
X/X
19%
4.33
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
11%
5.37
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.02/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.08
-21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.7 Crosses 14.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Olympiakos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
326 Passes 215
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.01.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-2 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
17.09.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 1-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
03.05.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
23.04.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
12.04.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
12.03.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-3 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
1-0
AWAY Olympiakos
1.25 xG 2.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
341 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina nicked a narrow win over Olympiakos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day AEK Atina made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, AEK Atina had 54% of the ball to Olympiakos's 46%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.25 to 2.67 — the balance of chances actually favoured Olympiakos.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AEK Atina and 1.33 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Olympiakos?

AEK Atina 1-0 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 39%, draw 32%, Olympiakos 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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YUN More Greece - Super League
31 Mar 2024
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