Atromitos 1-2 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 5 Oct 2024

Atromitos
1-2 HT 1-0
Volos NFC
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Atromitos vs Volos NFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 35% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.18
X/2
9%
9.09
X/X
15%
4.33
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
13%
7.22
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atromitos v Volos NFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.34/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.27
+5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
17.2 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Atromitos vs Volos NFC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Volos NFC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 Passes 276
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 2-2 HT 1-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
07.01.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-2 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
18.09.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
17.07.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos HAZ
12.02.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 2-1 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
22.10.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN

Atromitos 1-2 Volos NFC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
1-2
AWAY Volos NFC
0.72 xG 0.78
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
445 Passes 296
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 12
37 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Volos NFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC nicked a narrow win over Atromitos 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atromitos at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atromitos had 59% of the ball to Volos NFC's 41%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.72 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atromitos and 1.33 for Volos NFC.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Volos NFC?

Atromitos 1-2 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Volos NFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 42%, draw 30%, Volos NFC 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atromitos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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