Everton 0-0 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 25% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.42
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.2
X/1
12%
5.55
X/2
13%
5.97
X/X
13%
4.84
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
18%
3.79
2/X
7%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.43/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.21
-34% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
20.9 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Aston Villa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.37 xG 1.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
258 Passes 402
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-2 HT 0-1 Everton Everton İNLK
20.08.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 4-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
25.02.2023 Everton Everton 0-2 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
13.08.2022 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-1 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
22.01.2022 Everton Everton 0-1 HT 0-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
18.09.2021 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
0-0
AWAY Aston Villa
1.20 xG 1.26
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
149 Passes 454
63% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Everton vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton and Aston Villa played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Everton had 31% of the ball to Aston Villa's 69%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.20 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Everton and 2.17 for Aston Villa.

What was the final score of Everton vs Aston Villa?

Everton 0-0 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Aston Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Everton 38%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 37%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Everton) ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
14 Jan 2024
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