Manchester United 2-2 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.66
2-3 Goals
37%
2.03
4-5 Goals
28%
2.64
6+ Goals
15%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.62
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
15%
4.97
X/2
14%
7.37
X/X
12%
5.96
2/1
7%
20.9
2/2
15%
4.5
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+9.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.19/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.72
+10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 81%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
15.4 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tottenham
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
417 Passes 425
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
27.04.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-2 HT 0-2 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
19.10.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
12.03.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 3-2 HT 2-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
30.10.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 0-3 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
11.04.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 1-3 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
2-2
AWAY Tottenham
0.75 xG 1.23
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 13
237 Passes 497
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
29 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United and Tottenham shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Manchester United had 36% of the ball to Tottenham's 64%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.75 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Manchester United and 1.17 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Tottenham?

Manchester United 2-2 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 37%, draw 24%, Tottenham 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tottenham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
14 Jan 2024
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