Esperança dAndorra 1-2 Atletic America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - Cup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esperança dAndorra EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletic America EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esperança dAndorra
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletic America
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletic America AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esperança dAndorra
1-2
AWAY Atletic America
51% Ball Possession 49%
25 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Esperança dAndorra vs Atletic America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletic America edged past Esperança dAndorra 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Esperança dAndorra at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Esperança dAndorra had 51% of the ball to Atletic America's 49%, shots finished 25-13.

What was the final score of Esperança dAndorra vs Atletic America?

Esperança dAndorra 1-2 Atletic America in the Andorra - Cup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esperança dAndorra vs Atletic America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esperança dAndorra win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Esperança dAndorra 46%, draw 26%, Atletic America 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Esperança dAndorra), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esperança dAndorra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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