Penya Encarnada 2-2 FC Santa Coloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - Cup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+0.5pp
32%
Draw
22%
+10.0pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Encarnada
1W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Santa Coloma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 0-1 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
05.02.2023 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 3-2 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
09.10.2022 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
POST-MATCH Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada and FC Santa Coloma shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Santa Coloma at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Santa Coloma led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Penya Encarnada and 1.67 for FC Santa Coloma.

What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma?

Penya Encarnada 2-2 FC Santa Coloma in the Andorra - Cup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 20%, draw 32%, FC Santa Coloma 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Santa Coloma), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Santa Coloma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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