W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 14 Jan 2024

W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Melbourne City (K)
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+63% / +63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.29/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.31/0.49
+50% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
30.0 Crosses 10.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.57 xG 1.60
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
198 Passes 434
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.01.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
01.01.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-0
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.94 xG 2.99
33% Ball Possession 67%
16 Total Shots 21
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
160 Passes 450
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) edged past Melbourne City (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne City (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 33% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 67%, shots finished 16-21, expected goals 0.94 to 2.99 — on chances, Melbourne City (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 1.50 for Melbourne City (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 30%, draw 24%, Melbourne City (K) 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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14 Jan 2024
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