Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
4-0
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
2-0
HT 0-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
1-2
HT 0-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
Brisbane Roar 3-2 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar squeezed past Newcastle Jets 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brisbane Roar as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Brisbane Roar had 46% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 54%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 2.12 to 2.26.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brisbane Roar and 1.17 for Newcastle Jets.
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets?
Brisbane Roar 3-2 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 43%, draw 25%, Newcastle Jets 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.