KRC Genk II 3-2 Deinze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 14 Jan 2024

KRC Genk II
3-2 HT 1-0
Deinze
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

KRC Genk II vs Deinze Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.9pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KRC Genk II v Deinze — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deinze EU Bookmakers 46%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.02/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.29
-47% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
13.0 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

KRC Genk II vs Deinze Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Deinze
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.04 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
394 Passes 366
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Deinze Deinze 3-2 HT 2-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
06.05.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-2 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
25.02.2023 Deinze Deinze 1-3 HT 0-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
12.11.2022 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-0 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
19.08.2022 Deinze Deinze 3-2 HT 1-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2

KRC Genk II 3-2 Deinze — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
3-2
AWAY Deinze
4.50 xG 2.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
267 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
53 Box Touches 52
12 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs Deinze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KRC Genk II squeezed past Deinze 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Deinze at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 46% of the ball to Deinze's 54%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 4.50 to 2.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold KRC Genk II's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deinze led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for KRC Genk II and 1.80 for Deinze.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs Deinze?

KRC Genk II 3-2 Deinze in the Belgium - 1st Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs Deinze?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deinze win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 33%, draw 22%, Deinze 45%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deinze) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deinze) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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