RFC Seraing 1-5 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 14 Jan 2024

RFC Seraing
1-5 HT 1-3
Boussu Dour Borinage
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

RFC Seraing vs Boussu Dour Borinage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 28% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
44%
+8.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.7pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RFC Seraing v Boussu Dour Borinage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 32%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.96/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.32
+15% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
15.8 Crosses 14.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

RFC Seraing vs Boussu Dour Borinage Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.71 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
313 Passes 356
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 0-2 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2

RFC Seraing 1-5 Boussu Dour Borinage — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
1-5
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
2.47 xG 2.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 11
9 Corners 3
322 Passes 233
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage ran out comfortable winners over RFC Seraing 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was RFC Seraing at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 58% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 42%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 2.47 to 2.48.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

RFC Seraing 1-5 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Seraing win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 52%, draw 24%, Boussu Dour Borinage 23%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RFC Seraing) ✗ BTTS No
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