Brasiliense 5-1 Ceilandense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Brasiliense, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
23%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
40%
4-5
30%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Brasiliense win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
82%
-22.8pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.8pp
23%
Away Win
7%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brasiliense The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceilandense The Market 9%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+42% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
541 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 175 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Brasiliense vs Ceilandense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brasiliense swept aside Ceilandense 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brasiliense as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Brasiliense vs Ceilandense?

Brasiliense 5-1 Ceilandense in the Brazil - Brasiliense on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brasiliense vs Ceilandense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brasiliense win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Brasiliense 59%, draw 18%, Ceilandense 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brasiliense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brasiliense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRBR More Brazil - Brasiliense
14 Jan 2024
01:30 Gama vs Planaltina DF Analysis →