14/01/2024
·
01:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Gama vs Planaltina DF Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
43%
Home Win
53%
27%
Draw
26%
29%
Away Win
21%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gama v Planaltina DF — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gama
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Planaltina DF
The Market 24%
-23% /
-23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-44%
/
+23%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
356 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
311 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.5
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Gama vs Planaltina DF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gama saw off Planaltina DF 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gama as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Gama vs Planaltina DF?
Gama 2-0 Planaltina DF in the Brazil - Brasiliense on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gama vs Planaltina DF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gama 43%, draw 27%, Planaltina DF 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gama) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Gama)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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14 Jan 2024