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14/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Montauban (K) vs Clermont Foot (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
28%
Draw
28%
30%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montauban (K) v Clermont Foot (K) — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Montauban (K)
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Clermont Foot (K)
EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
5
302 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
367 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Montauban (K) vs Clermont Foot (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Montauban (K) saw off Clermont Foot (K) 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Montauban (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Montauban (K) vs Clermont Foot (K)?
Montauban (K) 2-0 Clermont Foot (K) in the France - Women's Cup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montauban (K) vs Clermont Foot (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montauban (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Montauban (K) 42%, draw 28%, Clermont Foot (K) 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montauban (K)), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Montauban (K))
✓ Under 2.5
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FRKK
More France - Women's Cup
14 Jan 2024