Manisa FK vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manisa FK v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals
Manisa FK vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Manisa FK
T1L
2-1
HT 2-1
Manisa FK
T1L
2-1
HT 0-0
Kocaelispor
T1L
6-1
HT 2-1
Kocaelispor
S2-B
Manisa FK 2-1 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics
Manisa FK edged past Kocaelispor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Manisa FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Manisa FK had 38% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 62%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.53 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Manisa FK had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Manisa FK and 1.00 for Kocaelispor.
What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Kocaelispor?
Manisa FK 2-1 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Kocaelispor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 39%, draw 25%, Kocaelispor 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manisa FK) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.