Kasetsart 1-4 Nakhon Ratchasima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 2nd Division, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-12.5pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.3pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasetsart EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 14%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-46% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
478 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasetsart
1-4
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Kasetsart vs Nakhon Ratchasima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima swept aside Kasetsart 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kasetsart at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kasetsart had 44% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 56%, shots finished 8-18.

What was the final score of Kasetsart vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Kasetsart 1-4 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasetsart vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasetsart win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kasetsart 60%, draw 19%, Nakhon Ratchasima 21%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kasetsart), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kasetsart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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