Samut Prakan City 1-1 Nakhon Si Thammarat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 2nd Division, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samut Prakan City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Si Thammarat EU Bookmakers 31%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.02/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.07
-29% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samut Prakan City
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Nakhon Si Thammarat
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2023 Nakhon Si Thammarat Nakhon Si Thammarat 0-2 HT 0-1 Samut Prakan City Samut Prakan City TAY1
15.10.2022 Samut Prakan City Samut Prakan City 1-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Si Thammarat Nakhon Si Thammarat TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samut Prakan City
1-1
AWAY Nakhon Si Thammarat
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Samut Prakan City vs Nakhon Si Thammarat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samut Prakan City and Nakhon Si Thammarat shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Samut Prakan City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Samut Prakan City had 54% of the ball to Nakhon Si Thammarat's 46%, shots finished 19-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Samut Prakan City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Samut Prakan City and 0.00 for Nakhon Si Thammarat.

What was the final score of Samut Prakan City vs Nakhon Si Thammarat?

Samut Prakan City 1-1 Nakhon Si Thammarat in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samut Prakan City vs Nakhon Si Thammarat?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samut Prakan City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Samut Prakan City 47%, draw 25%, Nakhon Si Thammarat 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Samut Prakan City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samut Prakan City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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