Samsunspor 2-0 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.45
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
17%
3.99
X/2
8%
8.34
X/X
14%
4.31
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
9%
6.86
2/X
5%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.68/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.58
+10% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
26.3 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 391
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
12.02.2017 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
10.09.2016 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor T1L
07.04.2012 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
21.12.2011 Sivasspor Sivasspor 3-2 HT 2-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
05.02.2006 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
2-0
AWAY Sivasspor
1.65 xG 0.23
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
356 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor saw off Sivasspor 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Samsunspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Samsunspor had 49% of the ball to Sivasspor's 51%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.65 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Samsunspor and 1.33 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Sivasspor?

Samsunspor 2-0 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 48%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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