Scarborough Athletic 2-3 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 34% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 52%
+22% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.44/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.07
+17% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2023 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 HT 0-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
01.11.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 4-2 HT 2-2 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
2-3
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers squeezed past Scarborough Athletic 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 55% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 45%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Scarborough Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 1.00 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Scarborough Athletic 2-3 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - Conference on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 30%, draw 29%, Kidderminster Harriers 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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