Alfreton Town 3-4 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.82
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +22%
1.19/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.95
-10% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Brackley Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
25.11.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
29.04.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
24.09.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
22.03.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
21.08.2021 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
3-4
AWAY Brackley Town
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town edged past Alfreton Town 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Brackley Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 63% of the ball to Brackley Town's 37%, shots finished 22-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brackley Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Alfreton Town and 0.83 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Brackley Town?

Alfreton Town 3-4 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 35%, draw 30%, Brackley Town 35%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
14 Jan 2025
22:45 Scarborough Athletic vs Kidderminster Harriers Analysis →
22:45 Leamington vs Chester Analysis →
22:45 Chorley vs Peterborough Sports Analysis →
22:45 Tonbridge Angels vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →
22:45 Welling United vs Hampton & Richmond Analysis →