Peterhead 1-0 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.87
2-3 Goals
34%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 32% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterhead EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
1.70/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.69
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
316 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 3.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterhead
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stranraer
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5 Corners 10
19.10.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
17.08.2024 Peterhead Peterhead 1-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
09.03.2024 Peterhead Peterhead 2-0 HT 2-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
13.01.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 2-0 HT 1-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
11.11.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 3-2 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
02.09.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 2-1 HT 2-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
POST-MATCH Peterhead vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterhead edged past Stranraer 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peterhead as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterhead had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Peterhead and 1.00 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Peterhead vs Stranraer?

Peterhead 1-0 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterhead vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterhead win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Peterhead 45%, draw 28%, Stranraer 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterhead) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peterhead) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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