Peterhead 1-0 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterhead EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.88/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.83
-1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterhead
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Stranraer
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 9
09.03.2024 Peterhead Peterhead 2-0 HT 2-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
13.01.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 2-0 HT 1-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
11.11.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 3-2 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
02.09.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 2-1 HT 2-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
07.12.2019 Peterhead Peterhead 3-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
31.08.2019 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 0-2 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
POST-MATCH Peterhead vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterhead edged past Stranraer 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Peterhead as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterhead had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Peterhead and 1.17 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Peterhead vs Stranraer?

Peterhead 1-0 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterhead vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterhead win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Peterhead 47%, draw 27%, Stranraer 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterhead), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterhead) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK2 More Scotland - 2nd Division
17 Aug 2024
17:00 Edinburgh City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Analysis →
17:00 East Fife vs Forfar Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Clyde vs Stirling Albion Analysis →