Edinburgh City 2-2 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

Edinburgh City
2-2 HT 1-1
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Edinburgh City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.47
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
3.44
6+ Goals
6%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 32% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.6pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.3pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-11.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.9pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Edinburgh City v Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 64%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+41% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Edinburgh City 2-2 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 22%, draw 30%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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