East Fife 2-1 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
7%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Fife EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +4%
1.68/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.97
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Fife
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
20.04.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 East Fife East Fife İK2
24.02.2024 East Fife East Fife 1-1 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
30.12.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
30.09.2023 East Fife East Fife 1-1 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
06.05.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
04.03.2023 East Fife East Fife 3-2 HT 1-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH East Fife vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Fife squeezed past Forfar Athletic 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had East Fife as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forfar Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for East Fife and 1.17 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of East Fife vs Forfar Athletic?

East Fife 2-1 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Fife vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Fife win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split East Fife 42%, draw 28%, Forfar Athletic 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Fife) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (East Fife) ✗ Under 2.5
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