Dundee FC 3-3 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.75
2-3 Goals
38%
2.06
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
19.35
1/2
8%
23.0
1/X
5%
27.0
X/1
7%
25.5
X/2
16%
3.47
X/X
12%
9.67
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
37%
1.39
2/X
5%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
7%
+9.4pp
22%
Draw
14%
+8.3pp
61%
Away Win
79%
-17.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 84%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
0.72/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.75
-27% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +40%
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
166 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 538 · 85%
11.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.6
10.4 Crosses 24.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Celtic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.37 xG 3.16
23% Ball Possession 77%
5 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
141 Passes 661
62% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 53
7 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2024 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
28.04.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
28.02.2024 Celtic Celtic 7-1 HT 6-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
26.12.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
16.09.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
20.02.2022 Celtic Celtic 3-2 HT 2-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
3-3
AWAY Celtic
0.66 xG 2.12
21% Ball Possession 79%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
84 Passes 556
49% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 32
6 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC and Celtic couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Celtic carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dundee FC had 21% of the ball to Celtic's 79%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.66 to 2.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dundee FC and 3.33 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Celtic?

Dundee FC 3-3 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 17%, draw 22%, Celtic 61%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Celtic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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