Dundee FC 1-2 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 28 Apr 2024

Dundee FC
1-2 HT 0-1
Celtic
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Dundee FC vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
57%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.96
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
7.13
2-3 Goals
37%
2.2
4-5 Goals
25%
2.45
6+ Goals
14%
4.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
16.0
1/2
8%
20.3
1/X
5%
23.15
X/1
9%
23.6
X/2
10%
3.64
X/X
11%
10.05
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
39%
1.39
2/X
5%
24.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.8pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.2pp
57%
Away Win
75%
-18.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee FC v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 80%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
0.62/2.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/0.78
-51% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
178 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 499 · 83%
10.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.5
10.2 Crosses 25.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

Dundee FC vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Celtic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 4.33
0.43 xG 3.11
24% Ball Possession 76%
5 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 12
138 Passes 652
60% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 52
8 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.02.2024 Celtic Celtic 7-1 HT 6-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
26.12.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
16.09.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
20.02.2022 Celtic Celtic 3-2 HT 2-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
07.11.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-4 HT 1-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
08.08.2021 Celtic Celtic 6-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic edged past Dundee FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundee FC and 4.33 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Celtic?

Dundee FC 1-2 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 21%, draw 22%, Celtic 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
28 Apr 2024
14:30 St. Mirren vs Rangers Analysis →