St. Mirren 1-2 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 28 Apr 2024

St. Mirren
1-2 HT 1-1
Rangers
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

St. Mirren vs Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
49%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
13.1
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
8%
21.05
X/1
9%
15.65
X/2
12%
3.42
X/X
10%
6.29
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.66
2/X
10%
20.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+10.4pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.6pp
49%
Away Win
67%
-17.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Mirren v Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.51/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.71
-50% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +12%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
194 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 83%
11.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.6
15.7 Crosses 24.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

St. Mirren vs Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rangers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.44 xG 2.07
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
157 Passes 527
64% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
03.12.2023 Rangers Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
08.10.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
27.05.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
15.04.2023 Rangers Rangers 5-2 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
12.11.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-1 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers edged past St. Mirren 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for St. Mirren and 2.50 for Rangers.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Rangers?

St. Mirren 1-2 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 23%, draw 27%, Rangers 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İKP More Scotland - Premiership
28 Apr 2024
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