Borneo FC 1-3 Semen Padang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 14 Jan 2025

Borneo FC
1-3 HT 1-0
Semen Padang
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Borneo FC vs Semen Padang Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.1
Over 2.5
39%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
44%
+17.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
56%
-17.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-11.9pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borneo FC v Semen Padang — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.59/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.60
-13% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Borneo FC vs Semen Padang Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borneo FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Semen Padang
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.08.2024 Semen Padang Semen Padang 1-3 HT 0-2 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
17.12.2019 Semen Padang Semen Padang 1-1 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
08.01.2015 Semen Padang Semen Padang 2-0 HT 1-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC HAZ
POST-MATCH Borneo FC vs Semen Padang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Semen Padang beat Borneo FC 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Borneo FC carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Borneo FC and 1.33 for Semen Padang.

What was the final score of Borneo FC vs Semen Padang?

Borneo FC 1-3 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borneo FC vs Semen Padang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borneo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Borneo FC 56%, draw 28%, Semen Padang 16%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Borneo FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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