Preston North End 2-1 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.56
Over 2.5
51%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
5.0
6+ Goals
10%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.45
X/1
7%
4.4
X/2
19%
6.88
X/X
16%
3.89
2/1
12%
31.0
2/2
12%
5.68
2/X
6%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
60%
-11.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
40%
+11.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.42/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/1.10
+42% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
Crosses 17.6
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.90 xG 1.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 Passes 297
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2020 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 1-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
03.11.2019 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
23.02.2016 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 1-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
20.10.2015 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-3 HT 0-2 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
28.04.2012 Preston North End Preston North End 2-2 HT 0-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
05.11.2011 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 5-2 HT 4-0 Preston North End Preston North End İN1
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End edged past Charlton Athletic 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Preston North End found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Preston North End and 1.50 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Charlton Athletic?

Preston North End 2-1 Charlton Athletic in the England - FA Cup on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 36%, draw 27%, Charlton Athletic 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Charlton Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5
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