Aubagne 2-1 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 14 Jan 2025

Aubagne
2-1 HT 2-0
Nancy
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Aubagne vs Nancy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.6
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.04
6+ Goals
10%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.03
1/2
10%
29.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
9%
6.52
X/2
14%
4.69
X/X
9%
4.16
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.16
2/X
10%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aubagne v Nancy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 46%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.74/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.57
+50% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
228 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Aubagne vs Nancy Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubagne
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nancy
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
The Meetings
06.12.2024 Aubagne Aubagne 4-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne squeezed past Nancy 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Aubagne made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Nancy?

Aubagne 2-1 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 34%, draw 27%, Nancy 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →