Aubagne 4-0 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.22
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
9%
15.2
X/1
7%
7.72
X/2
13%
4.2
X/X
14%
4.4
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.65
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 53%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.66/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.70
+42% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +56%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
224 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aubagne
4-0
AWAY Nancy
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne cruised past Nancy 4-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nancy at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Aubagne had 48% of the ball to Nancy's 52%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Nancy?

Aubagne 4-0 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 26%, draw 29%, Nancy 45%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nancy), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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