Sochaux 2-2 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 6 Dec 2024

Sochaux
2-2 HT 0-1
Chateauroux
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Sochaux vs Chateauroux Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.25
X/1
18%
3.62
X/2
7%
12.1
X/X
11%
5.07
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
7%
10.4
2/X
9%
18.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sochaux v Chateauroux — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.78/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.72
+0% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Sochaux vs Chateauroux Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Chateauroux
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 0.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
280 Passes 430
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.03.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 0-2 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
11.10.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
13.03.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 0-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
21.11.2020 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
03.12.2019 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
23.04.2019 Sochaux Sochaux 0-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux and Chateauroux shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Sochaux carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chateauroux led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sochaux and 1.00 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Chateauroux?

Sochaux 2-2 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 56%, draw 25%, Chateauroux 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
6 Dec 2024
00:00 Aubagne vs Nancy Analysis →
21:30 Versailles vs Boulogne Analysis →
21:30 Concarneau vs Bourg en Bresse 01 Analysis →
21:30 Rouen vs Quevilly Analysis →
21:30 Nimes vs Le Mans FC Analysis →
21:30 Villefranche vs Dijon Analysis →