Concarneau 2-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 6 Dec 2024

Concarneau
2-1 HT 1-0
Bourg en Bresse 01
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Concarneau vs Bourg en Bresse 01 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.44
6+ Goals
7%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
11%
4.29
X/2
8%
7.51
X/X
16%
4.17
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
13%
6.09
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.7pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Concarneau v Bourg en Bresse 01 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.38/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.10
-12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Concarneau vs Bourg en Bresse 01 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.05.2023 Concarneau Concarneau 3-2 HT 2-2 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
16.01.2023 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 3-2 HT 2-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
01.04.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 1-1 HT 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
26.10.2021 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-2 HT 0-2 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
27.03.2021 Concarneau Concarneau 0-1 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
23.10.2020 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-1 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Bourg en Bresse 01
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau nicked a narrow win over Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Concarneau as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Concarneau and 1.33 for Bourg en Bresse 01.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Concarneau 2-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 in the France - National League 1 on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 46%, draw 27%, Bourg en Bresse 01 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Concarneau) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Concarneau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
6 Dec 2024
00:00 Aubagne vs Nancy Analysis →
21:30 Versailles vs Boulogne Analysis →
21:30 Rouen vs Quevilly Analysis →
21:30 Sochaux vs Chateauroux Analysis →
21:30 Nimes vs Le Mans FC Analysis →
21:30 Villefranche vs Dijon Analysis →