Villefranche 1-0 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.66
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.94
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
10%
6.33
X/2
13%
4.68
X/X
10%
4.11
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.24
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.43/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.77
+24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dijon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 4-0 HT 3-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
08.09.2023 Dijon Dijon 2-0 HT 1-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
1-0
AWAY Dijon
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche nicked a narrow win over Dijon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Villefranche found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Villefranche had 47% of the ball to Dijon's 53%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Villefranche and 1.00 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Dijon?

Villefranche 1-0 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 35%, draw 25%, Dijon 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dijon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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