Sochaux 0-2 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.21
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
16%
4.72
X/2
12%
6.32
X/X
10%
4.08
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
16%
4.84
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.72/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.19
+32% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Chateauroux
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.77 xG 0.68
44% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
286 Passes 402
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
13.03.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 0-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
21.11.2020 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
03.12.2019 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
23.04.2019 Sochaux Sochaux 0-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
30.11.2018 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux saw off Sochaux 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sochaux at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chateauroux led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sochaux and 0.83 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Chateauroux?

Sochaux 0-2 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 41%, draw 23%, Chateauroux 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux)
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