Rouen 0-1 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.94
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
11%
4.96
X/2
17%
5.74
X/X
16%
3.76
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
13%
4.45
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.6pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.19/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.30
-9% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rouen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Rouen Rouen FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rouen
0-1
AWAY Le Mans FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC squeezed past Rouen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Le Mans FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Rouen had 53% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 47%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Le Mans FC?

Rouen 0-1 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Rouen 35%, draw 30%, Le Mans FC 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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