Monts dOr Azergues 1-0 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
4.85
6+ Goals
6%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.11
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
10%
4.42
X/2
9%
6.44
X/X
16%
3.94
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
18%
5.26
2/X
5%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monts dOr Azergues EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 32%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
2.02/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.05
+40% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monts dOr Azergues
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Villefranche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.10.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 2-1 HT 2-0 Monts dOr Azergues Monts dOr Azergues FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monts dOr Azergues
1-0
AWAY Villefranche
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monts dOr Azergues vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monts dOr Azergues nicked a narrow win over Villefranche 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Monts dOr Azergues found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Monts dOr Azergues had 53% of the ball to Villefranche's 47%, shots finished 7-3.

What was the final score of Monts dOr Azergues vs Villefranche?

Monts dOr Azergues 1-0 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monts dOr Azergues vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monts dOr Azergues win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monts dOr Azergues 39%, draw 26%, Villefranche 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monts dOr Azergues), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monts dOr Azergues) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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