Epinal 1-1 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Mar 2024

Epinal
1-1 HT 0-0
Dijon
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.94
6+ Goals
11%
17.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.94 — our 26% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.87
1/2
12%
25.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
9%
7.59
X/2
8%
4.28
X/X
13%
4.53
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.63
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.7pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Epinal EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
1.37/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.23
+19% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -52%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
301 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Epinal
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dijon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.10.2023 Dijon Dijon 4-1 HT 1-1 Epinal Epinal FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Epinal
1-1
AWAY Dijon
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Epinal vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Epinal and Dijon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Epinal had 45% of the ball to Dijon's 55%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Epinal vs Dijon?

Epinal 1-1 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Epinal vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Epinal 34%, draw 29%, Dijon 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dijon), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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