Fafe 2-1 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 14 Jan 2026

Fafe
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Sporting Braga
📅14/01/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

Fafe vs Sporting Braga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.14
Draw
17%
4.67
Away Pick
72%
1.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.11
Over
58%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.8
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.21
2-3
45%
1.88
4-5
27%
2.93
6+
8%
8.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
13.85
1/2
3%
22.25
1/X
4%
22.25
X/1
4%
16.25
X/2
22%
3.87
X/X
10%
7.12
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
47%
1.61
2/X
3%
19.2
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Fafe v Sporting Braga — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fafe The Market 14%
Signal
AWAY Sporting Braga The Market 73%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.02 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.27
2.11 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.68
Strong Attack Strength Strong
– Defense Strength Great
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33
– Crosses 17
– Yellow Cards 1

Fafe 2-1 Sporting Braga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
2 - 1
AWAY Sporting Braga
1.25 xG 1.62
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
246 Passes 672
79% Pass Accuracy 92%
9 Box Touches 26
5 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Fafe vs Sporting Braga
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fafe came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Sporting Braga 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Sporting Braga carried 72% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (58%) came home.

Under the surface, Fafe had 30% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 70%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.25 to 1.62.

Fafe vs Sporting Braga Result & Final Score

Fafe 2 - 1 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Cup on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fafe vs Sporting Braga Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Fafe 11%, draw 17%, Sporting Braga 72%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Braga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✓ Over 2.5
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