União de Leiria U23 1-4 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 14 Jan 2026

União de Leiria U23
1 - 4 HT 0 - 2
Estrela U23
📅14/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2025/2026

União de Leiria U23 vs Estrela U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.8
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

União de Leiria U23 v Estrela U23 — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME União de Leiria U23 The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.25 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
– Attack Strength Weak
– Defense Strength Great
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2

União de Leiria U23 vs Estrela U23 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME União de Leiria U23
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Estrela U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.10.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-1 União de Leiria U23 União de Leiria U23 UŞGB
15.08.2025 União de Leiria U23 União de Leiria U23 1-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB

União de Leiria U23 1-4 Estrela U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME União de Leiria U23
1 - 4
AWAY Estrela U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW União de Leiria U23 vs Estrela U23
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Estrela U23 swept aside União de Leiria U23 4-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We leaned União de Leiria U23 at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.

By the numbers, Estrela U23 saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for União de Leiria U23 against 1.00 for Estrela U23.

União de Leiria U23 vs Estrela U23 Result & Final Score

União de Leiria U23 1 - 4 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

União de Leiria U23 vs Estrela U23 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a União de Leiria U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split União de Leiria U23 41%, draw 28%, Estrela U23 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (União de Leiria U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (União de Leiria U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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