Rio Ave U23 2-3 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 14 Jan 2026

📅14/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.58
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.87
Over
50%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
47%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
2%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Rio Ave U23 The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 The Market 42%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.49 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.46 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Great Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Farense U23
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2025 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 0-3 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
06.01.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-1 HT 0-0 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
09.04.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 1-2 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
06.02.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 6-2 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
2 - 3
AWAY Farense U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Rio Ave U23 vs Farense U23
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Farense U23 nicked a narrow win over Rio Ave U23 3-2 on the road. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

The model refused to pick a side here (34% / 28% / 37%); Farense U23 picked one for it. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Farense U23 saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 17-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.25 a game for Rio Ave U23 against 2.00 for Farense U23.

Rio Ave U23 vs Farense U23 Result & Final Score

Rio Ave U23 2 - 3 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rio Ave U23 vs Farense U23 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 34%, draw 28%, Farense U23 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense U23), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ BTTS Yes
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