Rio Ave U23 0-3 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.9pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.47/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.61
+75% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Farense U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.01.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-1 HT 0-0 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
09.04.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 1-2 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
06.02.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 6-2 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
0-3
AWAY Farense U23
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 ran out comfortable winners over Rio Ave U23 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rio Ave U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 58% of the ball to Farense U23's 42%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rio Ave U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 1.67 for Farense U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Farense U23?

Rio Ave U23 0-3 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 41%, draw 27%, Farense U23 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rio Ave U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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