Mafra U23 1-2 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
58%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.82
Over 2.5
62%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
31%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
28%
-8.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
58%
Away Win
45%
+12.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
51%
-12.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
49%
+12.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.23/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.29
-12% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.01.2025 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 2-1 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
08.04.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 2-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
03.02.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 3-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
1-2
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 edged past Mafra U23 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Braga U23 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 46% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 54%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mafra U23 and 2.67 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Mafra U23 1-2 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 20%, draw 22%, Sporting Braga U23 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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