Sporting Braga U23 2-1 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.4pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.69/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/2.02
+1% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +118% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Mafra U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 2-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
03.02.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 3-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga U23
2-1
AWAY Mafra U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 squeezed past Mafra U23 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Braga U23 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sporting Braga U23 had 51% of the ball to Mafra U23's 49%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sporting Braga U23 and 1.00 for Mafra U23.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga U23 vs Mafra U23?

Sporting Braga U23 2-1 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga U23 46%, draw 30%, Mafra U23 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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