Vizela U23 6-0 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 28%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.94/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.14
+21% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela U23
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Estrela U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.01.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 4-2 HT 0-2 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
02.04.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-3 HT 1-1 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
30.01.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
6-0
AWAY Estrela U23
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 swept aside Estrela U23 6-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vizela U23 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 59% of the ball to Estrela U23's 41%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vizela U23 and 2.33 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Estrela U23?

Vizela U23 6-0 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 47%, draw 26%, Estrela U23 27%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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